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Time series forecasting of the number of Malaysia Airlines and AirAsia passengers

M. Asrah, N. and Nor, M. E. and A. Rahim, S. N. and Leng, W. K. (2018) Time series forecasting of the number of Malaysia Airlines and AirAsia passengers. Journal of Physics: Conference Series, 995 (012006). pp. 1-15. ISSN 17426596

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Abstract

The standard practice in forecasting process involved by fitting a model and further analysis on the residuals. If we know the distributional behaviour of the time series data, it can help us to directly analyse the model identification, parameter estimation, and model checking. In this paper, we want to compare the distributional behaviour data from the number of Malaysia Airlines (MAS) and AirAsia passenger’s. From the previous research, the AirAsia passengers are govern by geometric Brownian motion (GBM). The data were normally distributed, stationary and independent. Then, GBM was used to forecast the number of AirAsia passenger’s. The same methods were applied to MAS data and the results then were compared. Unfortunately, the MAS data were not govern by GBM. Then, the standard approach in time series forecasting will be applied to MAS data. From this comparison, we can conclude that the number of AirAsia passengers are always in peak season rather than MAS passengers.

Item Type: Article
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA273 Probabilities. Mathematical statistics
Divisions: Faculty of Applied Science and Technology > Department of Mathematics and Statistic
Depositing User: Mr. Mohammad Shaifulrip Ithnin
Date Deposited: 23 Jun 2019 06:59
Last Modified: 23 Jun 2019 06:59
URI: http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/id/eprint/11208
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